Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.118714 2.533038 2.997716 3.556114 4.207484 4.941810 5.830833
2026-01-18 1.529181 2.056719 2.712135 3.580632 4.694892 6.069442 7.885564
2026-01-25 1.120913 1.665637 2.402934 3.461746 4.928755 6.872653 9.622816
2026-02-01 0.849726 1.378102 2.148534 3.333807 5.086098 7.550403 11.238420
2026-02-08 0.688762 1.206614 2.012442 3.328061 5.383577 8.422877 13.189646
2026-02-15 0.571673 1.074783 1.905304 3.335567 5.682648 9.309422 15.234786
2026-02-22 0.472961 0.950869 1.784932 3.294586 5.886818 10.057210 17.128226
2026-03-01 0.376932 0.810273 1.609418 3.128244 5.853651 10.411979 18.419940
2026-03-08 0.316908 0.724502 1.514959 3.085095 6.016033 11.090430 20.288924
2026-03-15 0.270821 0.656617 1.441349 3.066161 6.212852 11.837782 22.332614
2026-03-22 0.252065 0.642769 1.470484 3.245569 6.791257 13.300925 25.740991
2026-03-29 0.227882 0.611637 1.458698 3.340337 7.216332 14.522911 28.819269
2026-04-05 0.209384 0.591034 1.467949 3.483634 7.760889 16.030848 32.580988
2026-04-12 0.183079 0.545611 1.415161 3.487852 8.026138 17.037409 35.500824
2026-04-19 0.152954 0.483159 1.312257 3.365894 8.012919 17.499945 37.419526
2026-04-26 0.127578 0.427168 1.214370 3.239444 7.971838 17.897718 39.238234
2026-05-03 0.112023 0.395313 1.170607 3.233313 8.192778 18.844764 42.225754
2026-05-10 0.099170 0.368345 1.134630 3.240461 8.443280 19.873176 45.459053
2026-05-17 0.086233 0.337700 1.083144 3.200495 8.578120 20.664315 48.258405
2026-05-24 0.071045 0.295231 0.990426 3.038471 8.400110 20.754142 49.571807
2026-05-31 0.061804 0.270770 0.945109 2.996446 8.510659 21.493962 52.347189
2026-06-07 0.054440 0.251037 0.910251 2.978006 8.677904 22.375826 55.502264
2026-06-14 0.052643 0.252314 0.941369 3.152731 9.363396 24.516395 61.637994